Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.028655 0.030872 0.033191 0.035798 0.038654 0.041690 0.045167
2025-02-02 0.025359 0.028555 0.032077 0.036259 0.041107 0.046571 0.053223
2025-02-09 0.022703 0.026409 0.030653 0.035904 0.042262 0.049759 0.059340
2025-02-16 0.020823 0.024861 0.029634 0.035738 0.043401 0.052786 0.065283
2025-02-23 0.019270 0.023515 0.028666 0.035443 0.044218 0.055325 0.070659
2025-03-02 0.018104 0.022522 0.028010 0.035414 0.045273 0.058132 0.076486
2025-03-09 0.016912 0.021392 0.027072 0.034907 0.045599 0.059922 0.080986
2025-03-16 0.015804 0.020288 0.026078 0.034224 0.045590 0.061192 0.084775
2025-03-23 0.014957 0.019470 0.025397 0.033896 0.046007 0.063026 0.089448
2025-03-30 0.014203 0.018728 0.024766 0.033575 0.046383 0.064782 0.094081
2025-04-06 0.013408 0.017883 0.023940 0.032917 0.046207 0.065686 0.097436
2025-04-13 0.013014 0.017570 0.023829 0.033265 0.047506 0.068839 0.104503
2025-04-20 0.012513 0.017086 0.023457 0.033215 0.048215 0.071152 0.110444
2025-04-27 0.012183 0.016829 0.023395 0.033616 0.049626 0.074641 0.118596
2025-05-04 0.011669 0.016279 0.022874 0.033287 0.049867 0.076259 0.123686
2025-05-11 0.011242 0.015835 0.022487 0.033135 0.050365 0.078309 0.129664
2025-05-18 0.010814 0.015370 0.022043 0.032865 0.050646 0.080000 0.135113
2025-05-25 0.010477 0.015026 0.021766 0.032839 0.051316 0.082374 0.141982
2025-06-01 0.010053 0.014533 0.021235 0.032375 0.051220 0.083404 0.146399
2025-06-08 0.009617 0.014003 0.020626 0.031750 0.050808 0.083843 0.149702
2025-06-15 0.009283 0.013618 0.020227 0.031450 0.050934 0.085239 0.154968
2025-06-22 0.008969 0.013254 0.019844 0.031157 0.051050 0.086613 0.160289
2025-06-29 0.008605 0.012796 0.019295 0.030555 0.050582 0.086870 0.163333